Introudction
Earlier this week I released my inaugural Top 100 MLB Prospects article. There were some notable omissions from my list that raised questions regarding their exclusions. This article will cover prospects that are “Top 100 Prospects” according to major outlets (MLB Pipeline, Baseball America, Fangraphs) yet are not included in my rendition. I will provide my scouting grades and an explanation for prospect. For this exercise, I will not be considering recent draftees nor MLB players that have made their debut.
Angel Genao - CLE - 2B
Prospect Rankings: Baseball America (#46), MLB Pipeline (#57), Fangraphs (#22)
Angel Genao is the prospect which I differed the most from consensus. He has been graced with a Top 25 ranking by Fangraphs and sits comfortably in the Top 100 for other outlets. The driving factor for his exclusion on my list was his limited power potential. He is posting below average exit velocities while running a concerningly high GB%. These can both be explained by his lack of raw power and flatter swing plane. I don’t expect his power to develop much more given his smaller stature (EDIT: Genao is ~6’1” despite being listed at 5’9”. My apologies for not cross referencing. With that being said, I still have some concern with the power potential, but this makes that ease up a bit) and the rest of his tools do not supplement his profile enough to warrant a placement my Top 100.
Jeferson Quero - MIL - C
Prospect Rankings: Baseball America (#69), MLB Pipeline (#65), Fangraphs (#93)
Jeferson Quero has slid down prospect lists due to injury concerns after he missed all but 1 PA in 2024. While this was a big factor into his slide down my rankings, the biggest culprit was his mediocre swing decisions and underwhelming power metrics. Quero is simply too aggressive; he chases a ton while not being extremely swing happy against pitches in the zone. While this hasn’t burned him in MiLB, this approach is typically heavily exploited in the Majors. On top of his poor approach, Quero is posting below average exit velocities. This is likely a function of his injury, and he would need to show that his power has returned before hopping back into the Top 100.
Eduardo Quintero - LAD - OF
Prospect Rankings: Baseball America (#59), MLB Pipeline (#55)
Eduardo Quintero is Mr. #101 for me. He will make my Top 100 the instant a spot opens up for him following a graduation. The biggest factor into his exclusion was two-fold: (1) Concerns regarding his hit-tool, particularly in-zone, and (2) A very flat swing plane which may limit his power potential. I like the profile overall, but there was only room for 100 players, and he is the one I like the most from the exclusions.
Thayron Liranzo - DET - C
Prospect Rankings: Baseball America (#71), Fangraphs (#34)
Thayron Liranzo was a clear-cut Top 100 prospect for me this Spring. He looked like a future stud behind the plate for the Tigers and his power upside was tantalizing. While the latter remains true, he has struggled mightily with blocking and his hit tool dragged down his ranking to outside the Top 100. He still has elite power potential thanks to blistering bat speed and a lofty swing, but the concerns about the rest of his profile make him a very volatile prospect.
Jhostynxon Garcia - BOS - OF
Prospect Rankings: Baseball America (#79), MLB Pipeline (#77)
Jhostynxon Garcia, AKA “The Password”, quickly made a name for himself this season with strong results and exciting power production. His bat speed helps him stand out amongst his peers and he makes enough contact to punish pitches he connects on. He was a very close inclusion on my list, but he ultimately fell short due to concerns about his swing decisions. He sits below average in both O-Swing% and Z-Swing%, which could be exploited once he eventually faces MLB pitching. His hit tool likely settles in below average as well.
Kaelen Culpepper - MIN - SS
Prospect Rankings: Baseball America (#80), MLB Pipeline (#76)
Kaelen Culpepper has been a hot name in the prospect world thanks to his stellar defense and now blossoming power. His exclusion was fuelled by atrocious swing decisions and a disbelief in his current slugging production. He struggles both with chase and lack of aggressiveness in the zone. His power metrics (i.e. 90th% EV, Barrel%) sit below average and do not paint him as anything more than an average power bat despite the home run explosion this season. His hit tool and glove keep him the conversation for being a Top 100 Prospect, but he needs to clean up his approach to make the leap onto the list.
Braden Montgomery - CWS - OF
Prospect Rankings: Baseball America (#82), MLB Pipeline (#33), Fangraphs (#47)
Braden Montgomery is a very tooled up prospect who was on the cusp of making my Top 100, yet concerns regarding his hit tool held him back. He has struggled making consistent contact against all pitch types this season and it only worsened following his promotion to AA. The rest of the profile makes him a shoe-in to being a Top 100 prospect very soon, but I need to see less swing and miss in his game before moving him up much higher.
Jaxon Wiggins - CHC - RHP
Prospect Rankings: MLB Pipeline (#83), Fangraphs (#85)
Jaxon Wiggins is an exciting arm with a plus-plus fastball and a strong arm. He has also taken big strides with his changeup this season, which has greatly improved his outlook as a starter. His biggest hole remains his command. He slashed his BB% this season, but he continues to run below average Strike% and falls behind in early often. His injury history has also limited his volume to just 122.0 IP since he was drafted in 2023. Any gains in the command department would go a long way for Wiggins’ stock.
Joe Mack - MIA - C
Prospect Rankings: Baseball America (#45), MLB Pipeline (#75), MLB Pipeline (#65)
Joe Mack is a defensive wizard behind the dish, and his power upside makes him a dangerous threat at the plate. He was excluded from my Top 100 due to very worrisome contact rates and a staggeringly high K% in AAA. Without a more refined hit tool, Mack looks to be more of a defense-first/backup catcher than a Bonafide starter. The bat speed and swing buoy his offensive potential, and more contact would go a long way.
Charlie Condon - COL - 1B
Prospect Rankings: Baseball America (#84), MLB Pipeline (#60)
From an offensive perspective, Charlie Condon is a clear Top 100 prospect for me. His blend of eye and power make him a threat at the dish, and his improvements in his contact rates indicate he end up average in that department. He was left off my list due to poor speed and likely defensive home at 1B. I wouldn’t be surprised if he turned into a productive bat in the Majors, but the upside is limited given his one-dimensional profile.
Justin Crawford - PHI - OF
Prospect Rankings: Baseball America (#86), MLB Pipeline (#68)
Justin Crawford was another tricky player to rank as his offensive profile is limited given his below average power and shaky eye, but the upside is very apparent when you consider his solid hit tool, elite speed, and strong defense in CF. He fell short of the list because of poor power metrics and an incredibly high GB%. There is an avenue to Crawford to be an effective MLB CF, but the upside feels limited given his offensive potential.
Jefferson Rojas - CHC - SS
Prospect Rankings: Baseball America (#91), MLB Pipeline (#62), Fangraphs (#40)
Rojas is another “Consensus Top 100” prospect that I excluded from my list, and the driving factor into the decision was the lack of a stand out tool. His hit tool carries his profile, but below average power and defense (albeit up the middle) were too much of anchor to overcome. If he can return strong results in AA while flashing more slug, he will be a quick riser.
Spencer Jones - NYY - OF
Prospect Rankings: Baseball America (#94), MLB Pipeline (#91)
Spencer Jones is the most volatile prosect in baseball. He is rocking a Whiff% greater than 40% but he has also his 30 HR on the season. He is producing much better than last season, but he has showed no improvements in his contact rates. His power upside is ridiculous and he supports it with strong running and solid defense. He was left off the list because (1) He has the worst hit tool in the upper minors, and (2) He simply swings way too much. Any improvement in either of those categories would lighten up my perspective on Jones, but for now he is simply too risky to include on the Top 100.
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This is twice this week I've seen Quintero just outside a top 100. I am rooting for the kid to continue to climb. That LAD outfield pipeline looks incredible.
Great post. Good read.